Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.488389 0.559446 0.636379 0.725755 0.826619 0.936808 1.066190
2025-03-30 0.370203 0.463996 0.574034 0.712212 0.880613 1.078675 1.328742
2025-04-06 0.295381 0.402380 0.537520 0.719649 0.957466 1.256087 1.657909
2025-04-13 0.229584 0.338581 0.486192 0.698735 0.994564 1.388964 1.951228
2025-04-20 0.193559 0.307015 0.470752 0.721017 1.089791 1.608198 2.385668
2025-04-27 0.166679 0.282973 0.460999 0.748454 1.194605 1.852522 2.885052
2025-05-04 0.140958 0.255417 0.440758 0.755948 1.269528 2.061305 3.357092
2025-05-11 0.118945 0.229402 0.418086 0.755060 1.329726 2.253059 3.823794
2025-05-18 0.101173 0.207110 0.397494 0.753563 1.387230 2.445213 4.310531
2025-05-25 0.087325 0.189197 0.381293 0.756491 1.451299 2.653418 4.843942
2025-06-01 0.076490 0.174929 0.369201 0.764464 1.524170 2.882805 5.435235
2025-06-08 0.065886 0.158962 0.351081 0.757901 1.568623 3.065647 5.961871
2025-06-15 0.059026 0.149894 0.345629 0.776069 1.663521 3.351989 6.709073
2025-06-22 0.050906 0.136301 0.328507 0.767834 1.705453 3.544151 7.301892
2025-06-29 0.045501 0.128021 0.321511 0.779886 1.789782 3.825862 8.092748
2025-07-06 0.038759 0.114928 0.301383 0.759951 1.804286 3.971094 8.631024
2025-07-13 0.035674 0.110724 0.301416 0.785771 1.920561 4.333343 9.637586
2025-07-20 0.033173 0.107581 0.303502 0.816651 2.051625 4.738701 10.769290
2025-07-27 0.029876 0.101430 0.296948 0.825546 2.133344 5.046934 11.725349
2025-08-03 0.026586 0.094537 0.287254 0.825084 2.192842 5.312280 12.613227
2025-08-10 0.023682 0.088149 0.277805 0.823786 2.249962 5.577406 13.523756
2025-08-17 0.021298 0.082873 0.270544 0.827179 2.318929 5.875578 14.533543
2025-08-24 0.019359 0.078632 0.265539 0.835977 2.402535 6.215181 15.666198